Tuesday, August 17, 2004

I'M BEGINNING TO UNDERSTAND THE CONFUSION IN POLLING

Here are some key polling numbers from Rasmussen:

Who is a Better Leader? Bush 48 Kerry 38
Trust on Nat'l Defense? Bush 48 Kerry 45
Trust to Manage Economy? Bush 47 Kerry 46
Winning the War on Terror? US 52 Terrorists 25
How is Bush handling Iraq? Ex/Good 41 Poor 44
How is Bush handling Economy? Ex/Good 40 Poor 41

The first four sets of numbers look good for Bush. People believe he's a better leader and they trust him more than Kerry. And they think we're winning the War.

Having said that, they give the Bush track record a generally "poor" rating.

My take? They'll vote for Bush, but it won't be because they think he'll do a good job but because they believe Kerry will do worse.



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