Friday, March 12, 2004

"3/11"

The tragedy in Madrid doesn't seem to be the work of the Basque separatists. They have never carried out the kind of coordinated attack that occurred yesterday. Never. Of course, the UN Security Council, before the first police investigations yielded any substantive evidence, has voted to blame the Basque separatists. No better example of why the UN has impossibly degenerated into an organization divorced from reality.

The Spaniards helped us and continue to help us in the war on terror. In the eyes of the terrorists, Spain is an attractive target. If I were running al Qaeda ops, I'd have done this. I wouldn't do anything in the US unless I could pull off the mother of all attacks, even bigger than 9/11. Why? European targets are much softer. It's unlikely that the aftermath of yesterday's horror will be anything more than an investigation to find out who did it, track them down, arrest, prosecute and imprison them for the rest of their lives. The message it sends, however, is that Europe is no longer "safe."

Al Qaeda knows that the "next" US attack has to be big enough to motivate the US to do something equally as big in retalliation -- take out Tehran? Damascus? Why not? It's what they want. Their ultimate kamikaze strategy has to be to cause the US to do something that will turn the entire Muslim world against us. Otherwise, they aren't being true to their stated goals. So, it makes sense to "soften up" Europe so that, should that "mother of all attacks" be carried out in the US, the Europeans may be even less likely to help then than they are now.

In Wretchard's post this morning, he points out that the Madrid attack came precisely 911 days since "9/11". A coincidence?

UPDATE: ETA, the Basque group blamed by the UN, has denied involvement. In prior attacks, they willingly took responsiblity.


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